A special Extinction Level Briefing
What is on my radar?
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Join my patrons and myself as we study Psalm 91 and commit it to memory.
Remember: the Gate of Repentance is always open!
Weather and Space Weather
We are in a period of solar decline. That is what the Grand Solar Minimum is all about, less sun and colder.
This is what solar instability looks like on your space dashboard
We are in an unstable atmospheric condition. It will be in yellow on your graphs, Today and over the next several days we may ascend into the red, of geomagnetic storm territory which can impact everything from volcanoes, earthquakes, health, to our power grid.
Frigid Weather to Envelop US
ALL 50 STATES COULD FALL BELOW FREEZING BY HALLOWEEN — UNPRECEDENTED http://bit.ly/2MKXywX
Snow ends Thursday morning, next storm Sunday to Wednesday http://bit.ly/2BaIPoq
PG&E Imposes New Power Shutoffs In Parts Of Northern California
Snow is piling up at Showdown http://bit.ly/2qGMo3H
Colorado snow totals for Oct. 23-24, 2019 https://dpo.st/2BJ93P2
Bundle up! Snow heading to New Mexico http://bit.ly/2MLNRhV
More snow is on its way next week http://bit.ly/2pSao3m
Snow In Forecast For Early New Week: Minnesota Weather http://bit.ly/2MMOMyx
October Snow For…Texas?! http://bit.ly/32Nxw1Q
What Are Your Odds of Snow on Halloween? https://wxch.nl/342shLP
Winter forecast offers 'bleak' outlook for flood risk in Nebraska, neighboring states http://bit.ly/2Webymc
Total Snowmass http://bit.ly/2lAFomU
Total Snow GFS Model http://bit.ly/2pe8RER
Why the Frigid & Wet Conditions?
Finally, we have the last piece of the puzzle explaining how particles from space affect the climate on Earth.
The missing link between exploding stars, clouds, and climate on Earth
Breakthrough in the understanding of how cosmic rays from supernovae can influence Earth's cloud cover and thereby climate.Summary:
- The study reveals how atmospheric ions, produced by the energetic cosmic rays raining down through the atmosphere, helps the growth and formation of cloud condensation nuclei -- the seeds necessary for forming clouds in the atmosphere.
The study reveals how atmospheric ions, produced by the energetic cosmic rays raining down through the atmosphere, helps the growth and formation of cloud condensation nuclei -- the seeds necessary for forming clouds in the atmosphere. When the ionization in the atmosphere changes, the number of cloud condensation nuclei changes affecting the properties of clouds. More cloud condensation nuclei mean more clouds and a colder climate, and vice versa. Since clouds are essential for the amount of Solar energy reaching the surface of Earth, the implications can be significant for our understanding of why climate has varied in the past and also for future climate changes.
Cloud condensation nuclei can be formed by the growth of small molecular clusters called aerosols. It has until now been assumed that additional small aerosols would not grow and become cloud condensation nuclei since no mechanism was known to achieve this. The new results reveal, both theoretically and experimentally, how interactions between ions and aerosols can accelerate the growth by adding material to the small aerosols and thereby help them survive to become cloud condensation nuclei. It gives a physical foundation to the large body of empirical evidence showing that Solar activity plays a role in variations in Earth's climate. For example, the Medieval Warm Period around the year 1000 AD and the cold period in the Little Ice Age 1300-1900 AD both fits with changes in Solar activity.
"Finally, we have the last piece of the puzzle explaining how particles from space affect the climate on Earth. It gives an understanding of how changes caused by Solar activity or by supernova activity can change the climate," says Henrik Svensmark, from DTU Space at the Technical University of Denmark, lead author of the study. Co-authors are senior researcher Martin Bødker Enghoff (DTU Space), Professor Nir Shaviv (Hebrew University of Jerusalem), and Jacob Svensmark, (University of Copenhagen). Read More
Solar activity has a direct impact on Earth's cloud cover
A team of scientists from the National Space Institute at the Technical University of Denmark (DTU Space) and the Racah Institute of Physics at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem has linked large solar eruptions to changes in Earth's cloud cover in a study based on over 25 years of satellite observations.
The solar eruptions are known to shield Earth's atmosphere from cosmic rays. However, the new study, published in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, shows that the global cloud cover is simultaneously reduced, supporting the idea that cosmic rays are important for cloud formation. The eruptions cause a reduction in cloud fraction of about 2 percent, corresponding to roughly a billion tonnes of liquid water disappearing from the atmosphere.
Since clouds are known to affect global temperatures on longer timescales, the present investigation represents an important step in the understanding of clouds and climate variability.
"Earth is under constant bombardment by particles from space called galactic cosmic rays. Violent eruptions at the Sun's surface can blow these cosmic rays away from Earth for about a week. Our study has shown that when the cosmic rays are reduced in this way, there is a corresponding reduction in Earth's cloud cover. Since clouds are an important factor in controlling the temperature on Earth, our results may have implications for climate change", explains lead author on the study Jacob Svensmark of DTU.
Very energetic particles
These particles generate electrically charged molecules—ions—in Earth's atmosphere. Ions have been shown in the laboratory to enhance the formation of aerosols, which can serve as seeds for the formation of the cloud drops that make up a cloud. Whether this happens in the atmosphere, or only in the laboratory is a topic that has been investigated and debated for years.
When the large solar eruptions blow away the galactic cosmic rays before they reach Earth, they cause a reduction in atmospheric ions of up to about 20 to -30 percent over a week. So if ions affect cloud formation, it should be possible to observe a decrease in cloud cover during events when the Sun blows away cosmic rays, and this is precisely what is done in this study. Read more
Cosmic Rays Increasing for the 4th Year in a Row
An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security
The purpose of this report is to imagine the unthinkable – to push the boundaries of current research on climate change so we may better understand the potential implications on United States national security. We have interviewed leading climate change scientists, conducted additional research, and reviewed several iterations of the scenario with these experts. The scientists support this project, but caution that the scenario depicted is extreme …created a climate change scenario that would challenge United States national security in ways that should be considered immediately. This cold period can last from 100-1000 years as it did 8,200 years ago. If it goes into a Younger Dryas event, we will have over 13,000 years of ice.
Winter storms and winds intensify, amplifying the impacts of the changes. Western Europe and the North Pacific experience enhanced winds.
The report explores how such an abrupt climate change scenario could potentially de-stabilize the geo-political environment, leading to skirmishes, battles, and even war due to resource constraints such as :
1) Food shortages due to decreases in net global agricultural production 2) Decreased availability and quality of freshwater in key regions due to shifted precipitation patters, causing more frequent floods and droughts 3) Disrupted access to energy supplies due to extensive sea ice and storminess Read the report
Ancient Earth’s Weakened Magnetic Field May Have Driven Mass Extinction http://bit.ly/2BSPwvX
Oxygen escape from the Earth during geomagnetic reversals: Implications to mass extinction
- Geomagnetic field reversal substantially weakens the protection of the atmosphere.
- Solar wind energizes more oxygen ions to escape when the geomagnetic field is weakened.
- Oxygen escape may explain the drop in atmospheric levels during the mass extinction.
- The causal relation between reversal and mass extinction should be “many-to-one.”
- The simulated oxygen escape rate based on knowledge of Mars supports our hypothesis. Read More
The Role of Geomagnetic Field Intensity in Late Quaternary Evolution of Humans and Large Mammals
When this paper says evolution, think radiation-induced mutations where some species die while others thrive, and there is the possibility of news species.
It has long been speculated that biological evolution was influenced by ultraviolet radiation (UVR) reaching the Earth's surface, despite imprecise knowledge of the timing of both UVR flux and evolutionary events. The past strength of Earth's dipole field provides a proxy for UVR flux because of its role in maintaining stratospheric ozone. The timing of Quaternary evolutionary events have become better constrained by fossil finds, improved radiometric dating, use of dung fungi as proxies for herbivore populations, and improved ages for nodes in human phylogeny from human mitochondrial DNA and Y chromosomes. The demise of Neanderthals at ~41 ka can now be closely tied to the intensity minimum associated with the Laschamp magnetic excursion, and the survival of anatomically modern humans can be attributed to differences in the aryl hydrocarbon receptor that has a key role in the evolutionary response to UVR flux. Fossil occurrences and dung‐fungal proxies in Australia indicate that episodes of Late Quaternary extinction of mammalian megafauna occurred close to the Laschamp and Blake magnetic excursions. Fossil and dung fungal evidence for the age of the Late Quaternary extinction in North America (and Europe) coincides with a prominent decline in geomagnetic field intensity at ~13 ka. Over the last ~200 kyr, the phylogeny based on mitochondrial DNA and Y chromosomes in modern humans yields nodes and bifurcations in evolution corresponding to geomagnetic intensity minima, which supports the proposition that UVR reaching Earth's surface influenced mammalian evolution with the loci of extinction controlled by the geometry of stratospheric ozone depletion. Read more
CO2 Follows Temperature http://bit.ly/2Wedc7m
Volcanoes and Earthquakes
As we are experiencing this sun-earth coupling with particles flooding into our atmosphere with the possibility of going into geomagnetic storm conditions similar to your winter storm advisory, everyone is holding their breath. During solar conditions such as these, violent volcanoes will erupt: ancient, dormant, and active-those contain silica. Terrifyingly large earthquakes will begin to shake. We wait for the big ones as we watch the pre-game show events.
Worldwide Volcano News and Updates: http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
Emergency Management and Response - Information Sharing and Analysis Center (EMR-ISAC)
Wildfire Risk Report, new prediction methods
As the crust of the earth heats up as magma bubbles to the surface and the saturation of nanoparticles that are explosive, we will see new and increased wildfire threats.
The 2019 Wildfire Risk Report, released in September, found over 775,000 homes at extreme risk of wildfire damage in the western United States. Estimated reconstruction cost for these homes tops $221 billion. This report evaluates potential exposure of residential properties to wildfire in a defined region. Not surprisingly, California and Texas top the list of states in the high- and extreme-risk categories. Three metropolitan regions in California see 42 percent of residences at high-to-extreme wildfire risk. This is due to population density as well as the expanding residential spread into wildland-urban interface areas. Data from 1985-2018 show an increase in the amount of acreage burned when compared to the overall number of fires. 2018 was another record-breaker with 8.7 million acres burned, the sixth-highest total in over 100 years of data. The 13 states in this report have the highest history of acreage burned and the highest loss of life and property, and also possess the highest probability of future property loss due to wildfire. Planners and emergency managers may have a new tool in their toolbox to help forecast how severe a wildfire may be. Using modeling based on several key variables, a new machine learning algorithm can help forecast whether a wildfire will be small, medium, or large. Researchers tested this new modeling technique using Alaska data from 2001-2017. The model predicted 40 percent of ignitions would lead to large fires; ultimately, they accounted for 75 percent of the total burned area. They found this model outperformed other algorithms, but that there was still some overprediction in some cases. If refined to the point where it is more reliable, this kind of modeling can be useful to those in charge of allocating firefighting resources, declaring evacuation warnings, and can have an impact on other related fields such as ecology and land management. (Source: International Journal of Wildland Fire and CoreLogic)
Surviving the Blizzard
Have you ever wondered how the United Nations came up with the idea of geogrid the earth? The grid originated from the US Intelligence Services. Once again, the story comes from the Smithsonian. How many other secrets lie within those walls? Each story they do release is a controlled fashion engineering a specific narrative. The release of this extensive investigative report is not coincidental. This is a fascinating story that every person should read.
The Untold Story of the Secret Mission to Seize Nazi Map Data
How a covert U.S. Army intelligence unit canvassed war-torn Europe, capturing intelligence with the incalculable strategic value
he fighting for Aachen was fierce. American planes and artillery pounded the Nazi defenses for days. Tanks then rolled into the narrow streets of the ancient city, the imperial seat of Charlemagne, which Hitler had ordered defended at all costs. Bloody building-to-building combat ensued until, finally, on October 21, 1944, Aachen became the first German city to fall into Allied hands.
Rubble still clogged the streets when U.S. Army Maj. Floyd W. Hough and two of his men arrived in early November. “The city appears to be 98% destroyed,” Hough wrote in a memo to Washington. A short, serious man of 46 with receding red hair and wire-rimmed glasses, Hough had a degree in civil engineering from Cornell, and before the war, he led surveying expeditions in the American West for the U.S. government and charted the rainforests of South America for oil companies. Now he was the leader of a military intelligence team wielding special blue passes, issued by Supreme Headquarters Allied Expeditionary Force, that allowed Hough and his team to move freely in the combat zone. Their mission was such a closely guarded secret that one member later recalled he was told not to open the envelope containing his orders until two hours after his plane departed for Europe.
In Aachen, their target was a library.
HOUGHTEAM, as the unit was known, was made up of 19 carefully selected individuals. Four were highly educated civilians: an engineer, a geographer who had worked as a map curator at the University of Chicago, a linguist who spoke five languages, and the dapper son of an prominent Kentucky family who’d grown up mostly in Europe as the son of a brigadier general posted to various capitals as a military attaché. There were also ten enlisted men. One was a Japanese interpreter on loan from the Office of Strategic Services, the spy agency precursor to the CIA. Others had been through the secret Military Intelligence Training Center at Camp Ritchie, Maryland. Among the Ritchie Boys, as they were known, were European immigrants who had fled to the United States to escape Nazi persecution. At Camp Ritchie, they received training in interrogation and other psychological operations. Their job was to question European civilians about the movement of enemy troops, translate captured documents and interrogate prisoners of war. For the refugees among them, it was a chance to leverage their language skills and cultural familiarity to defeat the enemy that had uprooted their lives.
Celeste has worked as a contractor for Homeland Security and FEMA. Her training and activation's include the infamous day of 911, flood and earthquake operations, mass casualty exercises, and numerous other operations. Celeste is FEMA certified and has completed the Professional Development Emergency Management Series.
- Incident Command
- Integrated EM: Preparedness, Response, Recovery, Mitigation
- Emergency Plan Design including all Emergency Support Functions
- Principles of Emergency Management
- Developing Volunteer Resources
- Emergency Planning and Development
- Leadership and Influence, Decision Making in Crisis
- Exercise Design and Evaluation
- Public Assistance Applications
- Emergency Operations Interface
- Public Information Officer
- Flood Fight Operations
- Domestic Preparedness for Weapons of Mass Destruction
- Incident Command (ICS-NIMS)
- Multi-Hazards for Schools
- Rapid Evaluation of Structures-Earthquakes
- Weather Spotter for National Weather Service
- Logistics, Operations, Communications
- Community Emergency Response Team Leader
- Behavior Recognition
Celeste grew up in military & governmental home with her father working for the Naval Warfare Center, and later as Assistant Director for Public Lands and Natural Resources, in both Washington State and California.
Celeste also has training and expertise in small agricultural lobbying, Integrative/Functional Medicine, asymmetrical and symmetrical warfare, and Organic Farming.
My educational eBooks
Prep Resources for the Climate Chaos
Climate Revolution: The Grand Solar Minimum